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Citation

Popkin, Barry M. & Slining, Meghan M. (2013). New Dynamics in Global Obesity Facing Low- and Middle-Income Countries. Obesity Reviews, 14(Suppl. 2), 11-20. PMCID: PMC4074506

Abstract

Levels of overweight and obesity across low- and-middle income countries (LMIC) have approached levels found in higher-income countries. This is particularly true in the Middle East and North Africa and in Latin America and the Caribbean. Using nationally representative samples of women aged 19-49, n = 815,609, this paper documents the annualized rate of increase of overweight from the first survey in early 1990 to the last survey in the present millennium. Overweight increases ranged from 0.31 percent per year to 0.92 percent per year for Latin America and the Caribbean and for the Middle East and North Africa, respectively. For a sample of eight countries, using quantile regression, we further demonstrate that mean body mass index at the ninety-fifth percentile has increased significantly across all regions, representing predicted weight increases of 5-10 kilograms. Furthermore we highlight a major new concern in LMICs, documenting waist circumference increases of 2-4 cm at the same BMI (e.g. 25) over an 18 year period. In sum, this paper indicates growing potential for increased cardiometabolic problems linked with a large rightward shift in the BMI distribution and increased waist circumference at each BMI level.

URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/obr.12102

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year Published

2013

Journal Title

Obesity Reviews

Author(s)

Popkin, Barry M.
Slining, Meghan M.

PMCID

PMC4074506

ORCiD

Popkin - 0000-0001-9495-9324