Citation
Larson, Ryan P.; Santaularia, N. Jeanie; & Uggen, Christopher (2023). Temporal and Spatial Shifts in Gun Violence, before and after a Historic Police Killing in Minneapolis. Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology, 47, 100602. PMCID: PMC10693656Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of the police murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis, MN on firearm violence, and examine the spatial and social heterogeneity of the effect.METHODS: We analyzed a uniquely constructed panel dataset of Minneapolis Zip Code Tabulation Areas from 2016-2020 (n = 5742), consisting of Minnesota Hospital Association, Minneapolis Police Department, Minneapolis Public Schools, Census Bureau, and Minnesota Department of Natural Resources data. Interrupted time-series and random effects panel models were used to model the spatiotemporal effects of police killing event on the rate of firearm assault injuries.
RESULTS: Findings reveal a rising and falling temporal pattern post-killing and a spatial pattern in which disadvantaged, historically Black communities near earlier sites of protest against police violence experienced the brunt of the post-killing increase in firearm assault injury. These effects remain after adjusting for changes in police activity and pandemic-related restrictions, indicating that rising violence was not a simple byproduct of changes in police behavior or COVID-19 response.
CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the increases in firearm violence as a result of police violence are disproportionately borne by underserved communities.
URL
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sste.2023.100602Reference Type
Journal ArticleYear Published
2023Journal Title
Spatial and Spatio-Temporal EpidemiologyAuthor(s)
Larson, Ryan P.Santaularia, N. Jeanie
Uggen, Christopher